Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 1.937483 2.208896 2.506854 2.858579 3.262900 3.713681 4.255140
2025-10-12 1.614360 1.986676 2.429355 2.995989 3.704221 4.563056 5.687849
2025-10-19 1.358326 1.781609 2.319658 3.057125 4.046969 5.337082 7.158228
2025-10-26 1.168365 1.618730 2.225149 3.107220 4.367315 6.117395 8.757938
2025-11-02 0.984132 1.429271 2.059200 3.024013 4.479477 6.617027 10.038124
2025-11-09 0.822461 1.244550 1.868379 2.868199 4.450837 6.893398 11.014342
2025-11-16 0.725316 1.139839 1.777543 2.843537 4.608337 7.461599 12.520693
2025-11-23 0.639287 1.039583 1.678182 2.787378 4.700601 7.928750 13.921444
2025-11-30 0.604421 1.016175 1.696775 2.924211 5.128679 9.008694 16.547981
2025-12-07 0.563260 0.976371 1.681860 2.999137 5.455282 9.951653 19.070034
2025-12-14 0.512828 0.914010 1.619801 2.980168 5.605420 10.588731 21.102514
2025-12-21 0.455351 0.832220 1.513324 2.864548 5.555223 10.834908 22.386504
2025-12-28 0.435880 0.819194 1.533022 2.995577 6.012161 12.156349 26.163478
2026-01-04 0.419391 0.809884 1.558605 3.141758 6.521613 13.663179 30.619456
2026-01-11 0.395019 0.782307 1.545340 3.206988 6.871008 14.885307 34.659437
2026-01-18 0.371789 0.754261 1.527655 3.260179 7.201343 16.114706 38.943351
2026-01-25 0.337698 0.700007 1.449876 3.172887 7.203873 16.599665 41.492266
2026-02-01 0.300784 0.635776 1.343913 3.009083 7.005782 16.582667 42.756777
2026-02-08 0.279244 0.602395 1.300752 2.983201 7.131502 17.365409 46.270986
2026-02-15 0.257273 0.565741 1.246389 2.924154 7.167742 17.930527 49.299341
2026-02-22 0.251967 0.565982 1.275077 3.068123 7.734320 19.941683 56.799399
2026-03-01 0.242357 0.555272 1.277267 3.146965 8.144227 21.604269 63.620705
2026-03-08 0.227190 0.529919 1.242175 3.127011 8.288639 22.566315 68.516649